Weavewell

For reference only · Not medical advice

Sources include the CDC, FDA, HIV.gov, Australian STI Management Guidelines, PubMed-indexed research, and other linked references.

Infection

Mpox

Monkeypox virus

Source evidence review: 2026-10-26. Source links are provided for transparency; guidance can change.

Stylized mpox virus: a brick-shaped particle with a dumbbell-shaped core and two side bodies. Not to scale; not diagnostic.

CLOSE-CONTACT VIRAL INFECTION / CARE & TRANSMISSION

Monkeypox virus (MPXV)

Mpox can spread through close skin or mucosal contact, including sex, and through contaminated materials. Condoms do not cover all relevant contact. Vaccination, and having a new rash checked early, are the most useful steps. [51][52][53]

Transmission risk

Risk by type of contact

Bottom line. Mpox spreads through intimate skin and mucosal contact, including kissing, so condoms cannot cover every route. Sexual-contact attack rates and vaccine effectiveness are useful evidence, but neither supplies a single per-act risk.

Type of contact

General

No barrier

Contact-period evidence, not per act: 11.35% sexual-contact secondary attack proportion in a 2026 systematic review; a small travel-linked clade Ib dataset reported 73% (95% CI 39-94).*

  • Per partnership
  • Evidence: Medium

These are sexual-contact episodes/periods, often repeated contact, not standardized partnerships. Barriers, vaccination, clades and ascertainment differ; neither is a pure no-barrier arm. Do not average or compare as intrinsic clade effects.

Sources 1, 2

With a barrier

Condoms cannot cover all infectious skin or close-contact exposure; no valid residual probability.*

  • No numeric estimate
  • Evidence: Low

Covered mucosal exposure may be reduced while other intimate contacts remain.

Sources 3

Oral

No barrier

Oral-sex-associated close skin/mucosal exposure can transmit mpox; no per-act probability.*

  • No numeric estimate
  • Evidence: Low

Active or unrecognized infectious lesions/contact; oral exposure cannot always be isolated from kissing and skin contact.

No reliable mouth-to-genital or genital-to-mouth probabilities.

Sources 3, 4

With a barrier

Coverage may reduce local contact; no oral condom/dam efficacy percentage.*

  • No numeric estimate
  • Evidence: Low

Other lesions, kissing and skin-to-skin exposure remain unblocked.

Sources 3

Vaginal

No barrier

Intimate genital/skin contact can transmit mpox; no isolated vaginal-act probability.*

  • No numeric estimate
  • Evidence: Low

Not solely a semen-mediated infection; lesions can be internal or external.

No reliable receptive/insertive split.

Sources 3

With a barrier

Incomplete protection because adjacent skin and other intimate contact remain exposed.*

  • No numeric estimate
  • Evidence: Low

No vaginal condom-effectiveness percentage established.

Sources 3

Anal

No barrier

Established exposure setting; condomless receptive anal contact had aOR 5.4 (95% CI 1.2-24.6) versus other close-contact patterns, not a per-act risk.*

  • No numeric estimate
  • Evidence: Medium

2024 case-control analysis of contacts of cases; OR is not a probability or a direct condom comparison.

Association specifically for receptive condomless anal sex; no comparable validated insertive probability.

Sources 4

With a barrier

Condoms may reduce covered mucosal exposure, but the data do not quantify protection against all mpox exposure.*

  • No numeric estimate
  • Evidence: Low

Sparse protected-contact data and wide intervals; no justified percentage.

Sources 4, 3

Kissing

No barrier

Mouth-to-mouth and mouth-to-skin contact, including kissing, are recognized routes.*

  • No numeric estimate
  • Evidence: Low

Infectious lesions/close contact; no validated ordinary-versus-deep per-kiss probabilities.

Sources 3

With a barrier

Not applicable: condoms and dental dams used for other acts do not protect a separate kissing exposure. No studied kissing-barrier effectiveness estimate.*

  • No numeric estimate
  • Evidence: Low

A separate oral barrier is not a validated kissing intervention; do not render this as a reduced-risk numerical cell.

Sources 3

What changes the risk (3)
  • JYNNEOS vaccination: retain study differences. MEDIUM per study: two-dose adjusted effectiveness was 85.9% (95% CI 73.8-92.4) in Dalton 2023 and 66.0% (47.4-78.1) in Deputy 2023. One-dose estimates were 75.2% (61.2-84.2) and 35.8% (22.1-47.1), respectively. Different populations/designs; not per-act effects. Sources 5, 6
  • Clade developments since 2023. LOW for a numeric adjustment: clade Ib has spread internationally and through sexual networks. The small clade Ib contact series is not proof of a fixed increase over clade IIb; vaccine/route estimates cannot automatically be transferred unchanged. Sources 7, 2
  • Lesions, other close contact and illness. LOW for exact modifiers: uncovered skin, oral lesions and shared contaminated materials can maintain exposure despite a condom. No validated ejaculation or menstruation multiplier. Sources 3
Condoms and dental dams

No validated mpox-specific condom/dam efficacy percentage. A 2024 case-control association for condomless receptive anal sex compares heterogeneous contact patterns, not randomized or otherwise clean protected versus unprotected anal acts. Evidence: Low Sources 4, 3

Sources for this risk profile (7)
  1. El-Saed A et al. BMC Infectious Diseases, 2026. Secondary attack rates after mpox exposure in multiple settings during the 2022-2024 pandemic: a systematic review. DOI: 10.1186/s12879-026-13410-7. link.springer.com
  2. Laurenson-Schafer H et al. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 2026. Characteristics and Transmission Dynamics of Global Travel-Related Mpox Cases Caused by Clade Ib Monkeypox Virus. DOI: 10.3201/eid3202.251530. wwwnc.cdc.gov
  3. WHO WHO, 2024. Mpox: questions and answers. who.int
  4. CDC MMWR, 2024. Risk of Clade II Mpox Associated with Intimate and Nonintimate Close Contact Among Men Who Have Sex with Men and Transgender Adults - United States, August 2022-July 2023. DOI: 10.15585/mmwr.mm7340a2. cdc.gov
  5. Dalton AF et al.; CDC MMWR, 2023. Estimated Effectiveness of JYNNEOS Vaccine in Preventing Mpox: A Multijurisdictional Case-Control Study - United States, August 19, 2022-March 31, 2023. DOI: 10.15585/mmwr.mm7220a3. cdc.gov
  6. Deputy NP et al. New England Journal of Medicine, 2023. Vaccine Effectiveness of JYNNEOS against Mpox Disease in the United States. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2215201. pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
  7. WHO Disease Outbreak News, 2025. Mpox: multi-country external developments. who.int

* How to read these figures. Each is a published estimate under the conditions shown beside it, usually an untreated partner and a single act or partnership. It is not a prediction of your personal risk.

Evidence: High
Several prospective studies or a systematic review broadly agree.
Evidence: Medium
One or two studies, wide uncertainty, or a model.
Evidence: Low
Guideline judgment, case reports, or extrapolation.

Where no risk level is shown, the evidence cannot rank it. That is not the same as low.

Evidence reviewed through 2026-10-27. For reference only; not medical advice.

When to test after a possible exposure

Sample a suspicious rash/lesion when present; there is no validated routine asymptomatic post-exposure clearance test.

When to be seen sooner. Known close exposure or new compatible lesions warrant timely clinical/public-health contact rather than waiting for an arbitrary swab date.

  • MPXV / orthopoxvirus PCR

    • Test a sore or lesion
    • Evidence: Low

    Testing is triggered by compatible clinical findings, not a fixed post-contact day.

    If sores or other symptoms appear, get them checked; people with a known exposure can ask separately about vaccination.

    Specimens: Lesion-surface material, exudate or crust; other specimens only when clinically indicated

    Sources 1, 2

Early negatives, after treatment, and screening limits

An early negative result. A negative test from an unsuitable specimen or without an appropriate clinical target is not an all-clear result for the exposure.

After treatment. A repeat PCR is not automatically a test of infectiousness; clinical and public-health criteria govern follow-up.

Screening limits. CDC public guidance recommends testing for a compatible rash. The laboratory turnaround time is not an infection detection window.

Kissing and body sites. After kissing, oral or skin lesions can need assessment. A standard STI urine/blood panel does not test for mpox.

Sources for testing guidance (2)
  1. CDC. Diagnostic Testing for Monkeypox. 2026. cdc.gov
  2. CDC. Getting Tested for Monkeypox. 2026. cdc.gov

Treatment

Pain control, hydration and lesion care are important. Severe illness or major immune suppression needs specialist assessment. Randomized trial evidence has not shown faster clinical recovery with tecovirimat in uncomplicated study populations, so it should not be presented as a routine proven cure for everyone. [55][67]

Actions

1. Act on a recent exposure. Discuss vaccination as soon as possible, ideally within four days; administration through day 14 may still help. A standard JYNNEOS series has two doses 28 days apart, with strongest protection about two weeks after dose two. [53]

2. Test sores, not a routine panel. A new unexplained rash, rectal pain or other compatible symptoms are reasons to be seen; testing usually uses material from a sore. Until then, avoid close contact. Eye symptoms, severe pain or major immune suppression call for prompt care. [56][67]

3. Tell contacts and watch for symptoms. Public health can help tell recent sexual and close contacts, including people in contact before symptoms began. After an exposure, watch for symptoms for 21 days. With infection, avoid intimate contact until all sores have healed and new skin has formed. [52][56]

SCIENCE & CONTEXT

Mpox / the evidence

History

The virus was first identified in research monkeys in 1958, and the first recognized human case was reported in 1970. These dates do not establish the animal reservoir or evolutionary origin. The large multinational outbreak in 2022 expanded attention to sexual-contact transmission and to vaccination outside previously endemic settings. [51]

Impact

Mpox is an orthopoxvirus infection. It can cause fever, swollen glands, skin or mucosal sores, and sometimes marked genital or rectal pain; a few sores can still be mpox. Most cases resolve on their own. Severe illness is uncommon and more likely with major immune suppression, and eye involvement needs prompt care to protect vision. [56][67]

The amount of circulating infection changes with place, outbreak phase and vaccination. A fixed global prevalence assigned to all party attendees would become misleading quickly. Vaccine effectiveness estimates also vary across studies and populations; two doses provide better protection than one. [53][54]

Probability at a glance

Vaccine status Effectiveness 95% confidence interval

One dose

75.2%

61.2-84.2%

Two doses

85.9%

73.8-92.4%

Adjusted effectiveness against diagnosed mpox in one 12-jurisdiction US case-control study, 2022-2023. These are relative reductions versus unvaccinated participants, not absolute acquisition probabilities. [54]

In short: vaccination and local outbreak advice help most. Even with an intact condom, a new sore or a known close contact is worth having checked.